April 1, 2025

Red Sox’ $90MM ‘Minor Leaguer’ Faces Yet Another Setback

The Boston Red Sox’s high-priced investment in pitcher Lucas Giolito has hit another roadblock, as the right-hander suffered a new setback in his recovery from elbow surgery, further delaying his potential return to the mound.

### **A Costly Gamble Gone Wrong**
Last offseason, the Red Sox signed Giolito to a **two-year, $38.5 million deal**, with an opt-out after 2024. However, the contract could balloon to **$90 million over four years** if Giolito triggers player options due to injury—which now seems increasingly likely.

The 29-year-old struggled early in spring training before being diagnosed with a **partially torn UCL and flexor strain**, requiring **internal brace surgery** in March. The procedure typically carries a **12-14 month recovery timeline**, meaning Giolito would miss all of 2024.

Latest Setback Pushes Timeline Further
Just as Giolito began his rehab process, reports indicate he has experienced renewed discomfort in his elbow, forcing the Red Sox to pause his throwing program. While the team has not provided specifics, this development raises concerns about whether he’ll be ready for the start of 2025—or if his career is in jeopardy.

What This Means for the Red Sox
– Financial Burden: If Giolito cannot return next season, Boston will owe him $19 million in 2025 (with a player option for 2026 at $19M more).
– Rotation Woes: The Red Sox already have a thin starting staff, and Giolito’s absence leaves them relying on unproven arms.
– Long-Term Risk: Given his recent injury history, there’s growing doubt that Giolito will ever regain his All-Star form (he posted a 4.88 ERA in 2023 before signing with Boston).

Fans’ Frustration Mounts
Many in Red Sox Nation are questioning the front office’s decision to commit significant money to a pitcher with declining performance and injury concerns. With Boston struggling to compete in a tough AL East, Giolito’s failed signing only adds to the team’s woes.

For now, all eyes are on his rehab—but with each new setback, the likelihood of this deal becoming a total bust grows stronger.

Would you like a deeper breakdown of potential replacement options for the Red Sox rotation?

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